Bullish signal appears as foreign exchange balances fall 3%

XRP is trading higher in range-controlled action as institutional participation supports accumulation above the $2.38 area, even as derivatives data indicates a decline in speculative interest.

News context

  • XRP edged higher during Tuesday’s session, trading between $2.38 and $2.41 while maintaining a narrow $0.05 band.
  • The cryptocurrency continued to consolidate above key support despite broader uncertainty, with multiple intraday rejections near $2.43 resistance highlighting capped momentum.
  • Trading volumes reached 79.86 million – approximately 94% above the 24-hour average – during a retest of midday support, confirming institutional presence.
  • This spike coincided with a rebound from the $2.38 base, suggesting accumulation behavior from larger holders while retail participation remains subdued.

Price Action Summary

  • The most active window of the session occurred at midday, when sellers briefly pushed XRP towards $2.38 before aggressive buying on the dips reversed the losses.
  • The subsequent recovery to $2.41 reestablished the prior consolidation structure, leaving the token confined within a 2% intraday range.
  • Hourly data shows a slight upward bias, with XRP rising from $2.397 to $2.405 around 1:47 a.m. on high volume.
  • Several higher lows have formed throughout this period, supporting the short-term uptrend channel even as broader crypto sentiment remains mixed.

Technical analysis

  • The XRP chart continues to display ascending channel characteristics, with higher lows confirming controlled accumulation.
  • The $2.38 to $2.39 area remains key structural support, validated by volume spikes during testing periods. Resistance remains concentrated near $2.43, where repeated failures mark the upper limit of consolidation.
  • Derivatives data reveals reduced speculative activity: open positions fell 1.4%, while total trading volumes fell 24% on the day.
  • Funding rates turned slightly negative at -0.0007%, suggesting traders are turning to short positions. Yet on-chain data shows a 3.36% decline in foreign exchange reserves since the start of October – a historically bullish signal linked to long-term whale accumulation.

What traders are looking at

  • XRP’s ability to hold above the $2.38 support zone keeps the current accumulation thesis intact.
  • A confirmed break above $2.43 to $2.48 would reignite momentum and open up room towards the $2.65 extension zone. Conversely, failure to defend $2.38 risks a pullback to support at $1.96.
  • Traders are closely monitoring volume behavior: another peak near 80 million and above during an upward attempt could confirm institutional accumulation and precede a phase of volatility expansion.

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