Multi-time frame technical indicators indicate structural weakness despite brief attempts to break above $2.05 resistance during overnight trading.
News context
- XRP continues to face pressure as its weekly performance deteriorates to -7.4%, adding to the multi-session downtrend dominating in early December.
- Despite continued price weakness, institutional demand remains strong via US XRP spot ETFs, which have attracted $906 million in net inflows since launch – with no outflow days recorded.
- Meanwhile, social sentiment plummeted to extreme levels of fear matching October lows, with Santiment reporting the highest level of bearish commentary in over five weeks.
- Historically, such extremes have preceded short-term rebounds, including the November 21 rally.
- On-chain data shows mixed positioning: 6-12 month holders have significantly reduced their exposure, from 26.18% to 21.65%, while long-term demand driven by ETFs continues to accumulate quietly in the background.
Technical analysis
- XRP’s attempt to move higher was initially successful, with the price surging above $2.05 on the back of an above-average 68% volume increase as of 03:00. The breakout produced a strong rise to $2.07, but the move lacked follow through. Decreasing volume during the retracement revealed fading momentum and sellers quickly regained control.
- A persistent descending channel has now formed on the 60-minute chart, with successive lower highs and a narrower price squeeze. This structure reflects an orderly, trend-driven decline rather than panic liquidation.
- Each rebound encountered a distribution, particularly close to $2.04 to $2.05 – an area that now acts as immediate resistance.
Momentum oscillators are trending lower on intraday time frames, while the weekly TD Sequential indicator is slowly flashing a potential reversal signal. - This creates an environment of short-term weakness coupled with early signals of long-term stabilization.
Price Action Summary
- XRP traded in a range of $0.0563 (2.8%), moving between $2.02 and $2.07 before closing near $2.032.
- The breakout to $2.07 was driven by a volume spike of 44.99 million (68% above the SMA), but the rally fully retraced as volume declined.
- The 60-minute structure shows XRP moving from $2.040 to test support at $2.029, with volume of 1.08 million at the low – clear evidence of institutional distribution rather than opportunistic buying.
- XRP is now consolidating around $2.030, where holding this pivot becomes critical to avoid further testing of the $2.020 to $2.025 zone.
What Traders Should Know
- XRP’s near-term trajectory remains fragile as technical forces dominate otherwise favorable fundamentals such as ETF inflows and long-term accumulation.
- A recovery to $2.035 is required to restore intraday momentum, while a sharp move back above $2.05 would be necessary to invalidate the descending channel.
- If $2.030 gives way, traders should expect a retest between $2.020 and $2.025, with psychological support at $2.00 serving as the final line before a broader decline opens.
- Sentiment is deeply negative, which has historically aligned with early reversal setups, but until a technical trigger appears, the dominant trend remains down.




