AGI is a pipe dream until we solve a big problem, AI experts say, even as Google celebrates Gemini success


  • AI researchers at NeurIPS 2025 say current scaling approach has reached its limits
  • Despite Gemini 3’s good performance, experts say LLMs still cannot reason or understand cause and effect.
  • AGI remains far from a fundamental overhaul of how AI is built and trained

The recent successes of AI models like Gemini 3 don’t hide the more sobering message this week at the NeurIPS 2025 AI conference: We could build AI skyscrapers on intellectual sand.

As Google celebrated the improved performance of its latest model, researchers at the world’s largest AI conference sounded a warning: As impressive as the current crop of large language models may seem, the dream of artificial general intelligence recedes even further unless the field rethinks its entire foundations.

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