Third Fed Cut Fails to Spark Rally in DOGE and SHIB

Dogecoin traded quietly after the Federal Reserve announced a widely expected rate cut, holding key support as traders weighed what easier policy means for risky assets.

News context

  • The Federal Reserve announced a 25 basis point cut in its key rate on Wednesday, lowering the target range to between 3.5% and 3.75%.
  • Although the move marks the third reduction of the year, policymakers have signaled growing internal disagreement.
  • Some members supported further easing to protect a weakening labor market, while others warned that further cuts risked reigniting inflationary pressures.
  • The mixed tone limited immediate risk monitoring in markets, with cryptocurrency prices stabilizing rather than extending gains.
  • Against this backdrop, Dogecoin continued to see consistent on-chain engagement.
  • Whale wallets have accumulated around 480 million DOGE over the past few sessions, and trading activity has remained high following the launch of spot DOGE ETFs from Grayscale and Bitwise.
  • However, ETF-related flows have so far failed to produce lasting directional momentum.

Price Action Summary

  • DOGE rose 0.69% to around $0.1405 over the past 24 hours, remaining firmly within its multi-week consolidation range of $0.13 to $0.15.
  • The price moved between $0.1382 and $0.1408 during the session, reflecting limited participation despite the macro catalyst.
  • Trading volume reached approximately 651.7 million tokens, approximately 7% higher than the seven-day average, suggesting positioning rather than aggressive accumulation.
  • Repeated attempts to breach the resistance near $0.1425 to $0.1430 were rejected, while buyers continued to defend the $0.1380 area.

Technical analysis

  • Technically, DOGE remains in a compression phase. Horizontal support near $0.1380 has now withstood several tests, reinforcing its importance as a near-term floor.
  • Momentum indicators remain neutral, consistent with range-bound conditions rather than trend development.
  • The structure continues to resemble a volatility pennant or coil, implying that a sharper move is more likely to come from a breakout or breakdown than from a gradual drift.
  • Until the price returns to the upper limit of the range, attempts to move higher are likely to be met with selling pressure.

What Traders Should Know

  • With the Fed’s taper now factored in and policymakers signaling uncertainty over further easing, DOGE appears more sensitive to broader risk sentiment than token-specific catalysts.
  • Holding above $0.1380 keeps the structure intact, but failure to recover between $0.1420 and $0.1450 suggests upside remains capped for now.
  • An extended break above this zone would open the door towards $0.16-$0.18, while a loss of $0.1380 would expose the lower end of the range near $0.13.
  • For now, DOGE remains a consolidation operation in a post-Fed wait-and-see market.

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