Le XRP a poussé au-dessus de 2,12 $ alors que les acheteurs ont forcé une cassure à travers une zone de résistance tenace sur un volume supérieur à la moyenne, le mouvement arrivant à un moment où les soldes des changes se situent près des plus bas de plusieurs années et où les ETF au comptant cotés aux États-Unis continuent d’absorber l’offre – un mélange que les traders lisent souvent comme favorable au suivi si la cassure se maintient.
News context
Institutional demand for regulated exposure to XRP remained constructive, with US-listed spot XRP ETFs adding $13.59 million in new inflows earlier this week. This flow profile is important because it has been stable rather than security-driven, helping to absorb supply during periods when spot price movements have been unstable.
At the same time, foreign exchange balances have continued to fall, a dynamic trend that traders often present as a signal of “supply tightness” – not a guarantee of upside, but a condition that can amplify rallies when demand recovers. XRP’s market capitalization reached around $121.7 billion during the session, highlighting the scale of participation behind the move.
On the network side, activity has improved, with the number of XRP Ledger transactions climbing back towards the million mark per day. This tends to reinforce the idea that demand is not purely speculative, even if price developments remain the main driver in the short term.
Technical analysis
XRP rose 2.04% to $2.12, surpassing the $2.10-$2.12 high that had capped recent rebound attempts. The breakout occurred with volume 47.6% higher than the seven-day average, a key confirmation signal as resistance breakouts that occur during light participation often fail quickly.
After the initial surge, XRP moved into a narrow consolidation band between $2.128 and $2.152, with repeated tests of $2.128 as near-term support. This is the level that traders will likely view as the “line in the sand” for whether the move is building a base or turning into a quick rejection.
The structure is constructive: the price consolidates above the old resistance, rather than immediately falling back into the previous range. Still, the next leg up will likely require further participation – volume has declined following the rise, suggesting the market is either waiting for a broader risk-off surge or another catalyst.
The key overhead area is now between $2.15 and $2.16, which is the next pocket of supply in the broader $2.06 to $2.16 range. A sharp push through this zone typically quickly puts $2.20 in play, while a miss that loses $2.128 risks falling back toward the range’s lower limit.
Price Action Summary
- XRP gained 2.04% to $2.12, outperforming broader markets by around 180 basis points.
- Volume exceeded the weekly norm by 47.6%, supporting the breakout.
- Price consolidated within $2.128-$2.152 band after initial surge
- The breakout held above former resistance, keeping the bullish structure intact
What Traders Need to Know
This trade is increasingly about structure + supply conditions.
- If $2.128 holds: XRP builds a post-breakout base and the next test is between $2.15 and $2.16. A clear break at this level shifts the focus towards $2.20 – $2.28, where sellers have already shown up.
- If $2.128 fails: The breakout is likely to return to the previous range, with downside targets near $2.06 and then the range floor.
- Why this decision matters: ETF inflows + shrinking FX supply can make rallies sharper when they start. This doesn’t remove supply overhead, but it does increase the chance that resistance breaks can expand faster than traders expect once stops trigger and momentum players intervene.
Net: XRP did the hard part by clearing $2.12 with volume. The next signal is whether it can hold above $2.12 to $2.13 on retests – this is what differentiates the continuation from another poke-and-fade.
