- IDC has adjusted (reduced) its PC market forecasts for 2025
- Windows 10 depreciation and PC IA effects are not strong enough
- 2025 The predicted growth is 3.7%, the AGR composed for 2025-2029 is only 0.4%
Despite the apparent resurgence of the PC market in recent months, analysts are increasingly concerned about the future while global trends and geopolitical problems continue to affect industry.
Responding to the recent prices on Chinese imports imposed by the United States, IDC has adjusted its forecasts and reduces market growth to only 3.7%.
“Price increases resulting from prices in the United States combined with pricing demand lead to a negative impact on the largest market for PCs,” noted Jitesh Ubrani, research manager in world trackers of IDC mobile devices.
The PC market faces more problems
In addition, Canalys saw the market find some of its seasonal trends while increasing by 3.9% for the entire calendar 2024.
Analysts provide that PCs could represent up to 35% of the market in 2025, compared to 23% in the last three months of 2024.
The channel analyst, Kieren Jessop, agrees with IDC: “Imminent trade policy changes in the United States threaten to disrupt the market which represents approximately one in three PCs shipped and could hinder the next commercial refresh cycle and mitigate an already discovered consumption perspective.”
Jessop has added: “Until now, the Trump administration has placed a 10% rate on all Chinese imports, which represents a large majority of laptops shipped to the United States.”
IDC is also concerned about the general market for general public PCs, which has only increased by 2% in 2024. The company described migration to Windows 11 as “modest” – the flagship operating system represents only 37% of all Windows facilities (via Statcounter), against 60% for Windows 10.
By looking at the calendar spent 2025, IDC predicts annual growth rates less than 1% up to 2029. The annual growth rate composed for 2025-2029 should be on average just 0.4%.
