Bitcoin Market Projection for the 2nd half of 2025

Price prospects

Our analysis for the rest of 2025 provides that Bitcoin reaching a target of $ 150,000 to $ 160,000 Pushed by a pivot of the Fed policy and expectations of lower rates in the United States, beneficial liquidity conditions and an increasingly positive cryptography regulation environment.

The last announcement of the Trump administration allowing cryptos in 401(K)Added an additional layer to the crypto adoption story, and a clear route to extend the market capitalization of existing cryptography via the estimated retirement market of 9 billions of dollars in the United States.


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Current cryptography catalysts

  1. Liquidity conditions: PBOC in progress in progress and the global expansion of the world’s M2.
  2. Companies and funds: Institutions put their balance sheets to work in Bitcoin like never before. In addition, the number of Bitcoin and Ether funds continues to grow quickly.
  3. The ISM survey should exceed 50.0. When the ISM survey entered positive territory, it is previously correlated at the start of the “Alt season”.

Models and quantitative risks

Our quantitative models remain positive and show a significant range for more increase in Bitcoin and the wider market:

  • OUR Vanguard modelwhich is a trend detection system, continues to generate long weekly condemnation signals.
  • The weekly price closes above $ 119,000 Will keep the bullish feeling alive and cement the technical backdrop for increasing in unexplored waters for Bitcoin.

Source: Biyond.co, August 2025

Risks

  • Acceleration of negative data points in the United States, resulting in stagflation fears and risks on fears of a global slowdown.
  • A significant removal in the S&P 500 to Q3, perhaps from the level of 6,660, which remains a main target.
  • The titles of negative prices, and more specifically, a break in the trade negotiations of Sino-Us.
  • In -depth profit for FNB holders if Bitcoin crosses $ 150,000, or even $ 160,000

DEMARK indicator badges

The sequential monthly graph of DeMark TD points to a possible summit at the end of the year with the index moving to configuration 9 and the countdown 13. When the DEMARK indicator approached 9 or 13 previously, it reported a strong exhaustion of oversight.

Bitcoin - Tether: graphic

Source: Symbolik Demark sequential td

Total Capy-Bourse Crypto

The potential escape of the Total Crypto Total Capitalization Table has another dynamic in the current Haussier catalyst and mentioned above for the crypto market. Namely:

  • An initial objective of the quarter of five USD billions.
  • A wide -based crypto market rally encompassing the 150 best cryptos.
  • Limited range for the drop of less than 4 USD billions once a definitive graphic breaking occurs.

Conclusion

Bitcoin and the cryptocurrency market are well placed to explode with new commercial heights, with projections that should reach between 150,000 to $ 160,000and a market capitalization of five USD billions.

The main risk events to come include higher readings of the IPC in the coming months and a stop of trade negotiations between the United States and China, although we think it is much more likely a “box kick” on the road and an extension of the current trade negotiations to appease the markets.

Based on all positive developments surrounding Bitcoin and technical indicators, a solid case can be argued for greater prices appreciation at the end of the year.

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