Ethereum could win the war, but lose the price

Over the past decade, Ethereum has become the basis of chain finance. He introduced programmable money, enabled the tokenization of active active worlds and launched the DEFI movement. But now its success presents a new challenge: invisibility. As Ethereum feeds more applications behind the scenes, it may become something that everyone uses, but no one notices.

The risk of becoming an invisible infrastructure

Ethereum becomes what he has always said that it would be: a layer of regulation. Its main objective is the security, purpose and availability of data. Calculation and user-oriented activity have been transmitted to rollups and layers 2. Recent changes, such as the introduction of Blobspace by EIP-4844, are ideal for scalability, but they push Ethereum further in the background.

As Ethereum becomes more modular, users do not see it. They interact with the applications and chains built above, often without realizing that Ethereum is below. This invisibility could be a functionality, not a bug, but it has consequences. If the network just becomes another backend, it may lose its cultural and economic severity.

What happens to Eth?

The value of the ETH is currently based on transaction costs, milestone rewards and Blobspace payments. However, the yields are still substantially funded by inflation rather than real use. Blobspace costs exist on an emerging and unpredictable market. If these costs increase too high, the rollers can migrate to the availability solutions of competing and cheaper data like Celestia. Conversely, excessively low costs could compromise the economic model of ETH and its attractiveness for the validators.

There is a world where ET is starting to behave more as a bandwidth credit or a low volatility obligation. This could work technically, but it would be far from the early vision of ETH as a programmable money, a reserve asset for a new Internet economy.

Gridlock and fragmentation of governance

Ethereum’s commitment to decentralization is one of its greatest forces. But let’s be honest: it slows things down. Large upgrades such as the separation of the provider from the proponent or the shared sequencing are blocked in the governance limbo. Meanwhile, the Rollups and the L2 are in progress, each building their own islands. This fragmentation appears in the user experience. Wallets, bridges and gas tokens…. It’s always messy.

Ethereum is less like a network and more to a loose federation. And if users cannot feel the advantages of the underlying infrastructure, they will end up worrying about what it is.

The need for a convincing story

Bitcoin is digital gold. Solana is fast and friendly. What is Ethereum’s slogan? Neutrality of the regulation? Minimization of governance? These values count, but they do not shine with everyday users or even most developers. Ethereum has always resisted the Flashy brand, but at some point, people need a reason to believe.

If Ethereum wants to remain central, not only structurally, but socially, it needs a clearer story. One reason why the ETH is the asset to hold. One reason why developers should first build here. One reason why users should worry that their application works on Ethereum instead of something faster or cheaper.

What should happen next?

First of all, the ETH should remain the exclusive payment method for basic services like Blobspace. No bypass or abstraction layer that dilutes the request.

Second, the development of the economy must move away from inflation and towards real income. Blobspace, verification of evidence or any other network activity should finance rewards, not just the newly struck ETH.

Third, the user experience through the modular battery must improve. Portfolios, rollers and applications must feel like a transparent ecosystem. Otherwise, Ethereum risks losing not only users, but also Mindshare.

And finally, Ethereum must stop whispering and start to speak clearly; Its values, its decentralization and its credible neutrality are powerful, but they must be translated into results that people care. Financial access, resistance to censorship and property without authorization are at stake.

The moment of Ethereum to direct

Ethereum is not likely to disappear or be exceeded; It is too decentralized, too integrated and too essential. However, if it does not evolve in a politically, economically and culturally, it can fade in the darkness of infrastructure. Ethereum will continue to secure critical applications and assets, anchoring immense value. However, it risks feeling more as a utility than an active and dynamic ecosystem.

The property of the future means more than the supply of secure infrastructure. This means establishing standards, conducting innovation, influencing user experiences and cultivating a culture that developers and users revolve. Currently, Ethereum subcontracts a large part of this influence on secondary layers and external stories. To avoid becoming the Crypto Internet Transmission / Internet Protocol Control Protocol, essential but invisible and commodity, Ethereum must recover the story, shaping not only the infrastructure but the ideas and the experiences that are built there. Success without leadership is only a partial victory. Ethereum must fully seize the opportunity, not give it.

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