Merchants on the decentralized Paris Polymarket Paris platform have reduced expectations for American military action against Iran in the midst of the reports according to which the team of President Donald Trump seeks to repair the fences.
During the editorial staff, the probability that the United States strikes Iran by June 30 was 46%, decreasing clearly to the more than 66.9%, according to the trading in the Polymarket on the American military action against Iran before July “.
The decline follows an axios report that the United States is thinking about a meeting this week between the American envoy Steve Witkoff and the Iranian Foreign Affairs Araghchi. The meeting will aim to explore a diplomatic initiative involving a nuclear agreement and an end of the Israeli-Iranian conflict.
However, a Polymarket user said that “Trump should join the fray: his troops need experience in the post-postmodern war”, calling for military action against Iran.
Friday, Israel launched coordinated air strikes and drone attacks on several sites through Iranian military and nuclear installations, leading to a reprisal action in Tehran.
Bitcoin initially fell into an instinctive reaction at $ 102,750 alongside risk aversion to traditional markets, characterized by an increase in anti-risk Japanese Yen and weakness in American stocks.
BTC, however, has stabilized since then, the prices recovering to negotiate $ 106,700 at the time of the press. However, the term contracts linked to the S&P 500 exchanged 0.7% less.
Note that the Trump administration has not yet made official comments on the Axios report. In an article at the end of Monday on Truth Social, Trump reiterated that Iran cannot have a nuclear weapon, calling for an immediate evacuation of Tehran.
