US Inflation, Polkadot Upgrade, Solstice-Kamino Announcement: Crypto Week Ahead

US inflation data is the main catalyst to watch this week, as it could shift market sentiment and Federal Reserve interest rate expectations.

War in the Middle East and other geopolitical risks have kept commodity markets volatile, Bitcoin last week, failing to stay above the $70,000 mark.

The conflict between the United States, Israel and Iran is intensifying and the chances of a near-term ceasefire appear slim in forecast markets. Traders will be watching the price of crude oil for potential signs of its impact on inflation.

In this context, some specific crypto events attract attention. Solstice and Kamino announced a new product announcement, without giving any details, and Succinct also said it would make an announcement.

What to watch

(All times ET)

  • Cryptocurrency
    • March 9: Solstice and Kamino announce a new product or feature. No details were provided.
    • March 10: Succint will make an announcement. No details were provided.
    • March 12: Polakdot Economic Upgrade rollout begins, including a DOT supply cap, emissions reduction, and detachment reduction.
    • March 12: The BOB mainnet will undergo its Jovian hardfork.
  • Macro
    • March 9, 6:50 p.m.: Final annualized growth of Japanese GDP for the fourth quarter is 1.2% (previous -2.6%)
    • March 9, 10:00 p.m.: Chinese trade balance for January-February (previous $114.1 billion)
    • March 11, 7:30 a.m.: US year-on-year inflation rate for February (previous 2.4%); base rate over one year (previous 2.5%)
    • March 11: OPEC monthly report
    • March 12, 7:30 a.m.: First jobless claims in the United States for the week ending March 7 (prev. 213,000)
    • March 12, 7:30 a.m.: US trade balance for January (previous -$70.3 billion)
    • March 12, 3:30 p.m.: Fed balance sheet for the week ending March 11 (previous $6.63 T)
    • March 13, 7:30 a.m.: second quarterly estimate of US GDP growth rate for the fourth quarter (previous 4.4%)
    • March 13, 7:30 a.m.: U.S. MoM core PCE price index for January (previous 0.4%)
    • March 13, 9:00 a.m.: US JOLTS job offers for January (previous 6.542 million)
    • March 13, 9:00 a.m.: Michigan US consumer sentiment, preliminary for March (previous 56.6;)
  • Earnings (Estimates based on FactSet data)
    • March 9: Sharplink (SBET), pre-market, $0.31
    • March 11: Exodus Movement (EXOD), pre-market, $0.14
    • March 12: Cango (CANG), post-market, -$0.34
    • March 13: Bit Digital (BTBT), pre-market, -$0.01

Token Events

  • Votes and calls on governance
    • Convex Finance votes on Curve Ownership DAO Vote ID: 1358, which would onboard GHO as a Pegkeeper with a debt cap of 3 million crvUSD. Voting closes on March 9.
    • Lido DAO votes to make the Delegate Incentive Program (DIP 2.0) a permanent governance mechanism. Voting closes on March 9.
    • Lido DAO votes to authorize a one-time Treasury DAO allocation of $5 million into the Lido Earn ETH and USD vaults. Voting closes on March 9.
    • Lido DAO is voting on whether Stakin (recently acquired by The Tie) should continue to operate as node operator and whether it should approve updating Stakin’s on-chain name and reward address. Voting closes on March 9.
    • Aavegotchi DAO is holding Ballots 1 and 2 of a multi-signature signer election, asking token holders to choose a signer from among the candidates. Voting closes on March 10.
    • Ssv.network DAO votes to rescind DIP-46 and reallocate the originally approved $15 million development budget, dividing it into $14.9 million for DVT and $100,000 in retroactive research grant. Voting closes on March 10.
    • Realtoken Ecosystem Governance DAO votes to temporarily lower RMM (Real Estate Monetary Fund) interest rates to zero for 15 days. Voting closes on March 10.
    • Unlock DAO votes to approve the Unlock Protocol DAO budget for Q1 and Q2 2026, totaling approximately $30,768. Voting closes on March 11.
    • Arbitrum DAO votes to establish an operational directive that automatically consolidates unused and excess non-ARB funds from DAO initiatives directly into the Arbitrum Treasury Management Company (ATMC) portfolio. Voting closes on March 12.
    • CoW DAO votes on a CoW Swap affiliate program to reward affiliates who refer new retail traders and those traders after reaching qualifying volume milestones, with up to 500,000 USDC allocated over a six-month pilot. Voting closes on March 12.
    • World Liberty Financial DAO votes to introduce a WLFI governance staking system requiring holders of unlocked tokens to stake (minimum 180 day lockup) to participate in governance. Voting closes on March 12.
    • Arbitrum DAO votes to implement a Delegated Voting Power (DVP) quorum model, update its constitution, and enable on-chain proposal cancellation. Voting closes on March 12.
  • Unlocks
    • March 12: Aptos to unlock 0.69% of its circulating supply worth $11.21 million
    • March 13: WhiteBit Coin (WBT) will unlock 27.77% of its circulating supply worth $4.59 billion.
    • March 15: Connex (CONX) will release 1.54% of its circulating supply worth $15.79 million.
  • Token Launches
    • March 9: Nexira (NEXI) token generation event occurs. Token to be listed on KuCoin.
    • March 12: ForU AI (FORU) token generation event occurs.

Conferences

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