Traders at Polymarket have sharply increased the odds that the Clarity Act will become law this year after reports that President Trump agreed to the ethics provision that blocked the bill.
The market’s assessment of whether the 2026 Crypto Market Structure Bill will be enacted reached around 43% in the forecast market on Monday, up from 32% on Friday. This is its lowest level since trading began in January.
The jump follows a series of reports that the last sticking point after months of negotiations had been overcome.
Democrats have not seen the text of the bill, a source familiar with the matter told CoinDesk, and no text has been made public. The White House and the offices of the senators involved had no comment.
Ethics was the final major hurdle to the Clarity Act, which would create the first comprehensive federal framework for digital assets and divide oversight between the Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) and the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC).
