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I played the Royals and Tigers game last night, and to spoil any surprises, it was a loser. I took the Royals at +170 mainly because I felt like the line was far away. I still cashed out, but I hope anyone who is seriously interested in sports betting will take a look at this article. Although it was a loss, I loved the play. There was a ton of value on the Royals, who lost 4-3. There are times when you have to take photos, and this one rewarded me mentally, because I feel like I’m at least putting myself in the right place to make money. I’m actually hoping to make money, physically, in today’s game between the Astros and White Sox.
The Houston Astros are still holding on, but one has to wonder if they will buy, sell or stay up next week. For the season, they are four games under .500, but they are only two games out of the American League West division. That’s not exactly the position to be in if you’re considering throwing in the towel. Their best player, Yordan Alvarez, is having an MVP season, yet another reason to keep pushing and see if they can make the playoffs.
Yordan Alvarez of the Houston Astros, right, hits a three-run homer in the fifth inning of a baseball game against the Oakland Athletics, Tuesday, July 6, 2021, in Houston.
They’ve already traded one of their starters, but I don’t think that’s a sign the team was trying to give up. I think it was more about the roster and salary than anything else. Today they bring out Spencer Arrighetti on the mound. For the season, Arrighetti is 7-5 with a 4.34 ERA and 1.31 WHIP. He was worse on the road with a 5.52 ERA. He also allowed eight earned runs in his last two road starts. However, I think he could recover from the problems he had in June. In May he had a 0.93 ERA and in June he had a 9.00 ERA. So far in three starts, he has allowed eight earned runs in four innings and two earned runs in 11 innings spanning two starts.
The Chicago White Sox were expected to be sellers, but this team has heart and seems to be putting things together. Part of the reason sports are so fun is teams like the White Sox. A team that no one expected anything from this year, and which turned things around to qualify for the playoffs. There’s still a long way to go and an injury could derail everything, but you have to feel strong about how they played and how they looked if you’re a Sox fan.
Tristan Peters, #29, of the Chicago White Sox, runs to third base for a triple against the Athletics at Rate Field in Chicago, Illinois on July 10, 2026. (Geoff Stellfox/Getty Images)
One of the brightest spots on this roster was today’s starter, Davis Martin. For the season, Martin is 9-5 for the year with a 3.31 ERA and 1.27 WHIP. Martin has been elite at Guaranteed Field Rate this season with a 1.80 ERA. He allowed just nine earned runs at home in 45 innings. And five of those earned runs came in the last start against the Red Sox. Perhaps most impressive is that he only allowed 33 walks all year, and only 10 came at home.
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Baseball is a sport in which you generally have the ability to follow the movements of sharps and line drives quite confidently. There aren’t a ton of public bettors charging teams. Cash tends to move these lines, and the line moves in the Astros’ favor. However, sharp objects don’t always win either. There is also a move in which they bet on one side, simply to lower the line and get more money on the opposite side. I could see this happening here.
Chicago White Sox manager Will Venable meets on the mound with catcher Drew Romo, shortstop Colson Montgomery, first baseman Munetaka Murakami and second baseman Chase Meidroth during an MLB game at Rate Field in Chicago on May 13, 2026. (Patrick Gorski/Icon Sportswire)
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If you don’t understand what this means, don’t worry. Basically, I think the White Sox are going to win this game. Martin is a better pitcher, in better shape and more reliable as a home starter. Arrighetti has been bad on the road and something has been wrong with him since June. It’s possible that the Sharps saw good value in the Astros, but now that the line is much lower, I think the Sox are on the right side and could see some money paid to them late. Give me the White Sox on the moneyline.
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For more news and sports betting, follow David on X/Twitter: @futureprez2024
