A social position of truth of the weekend of President Donald Trump sparked the first stages of the creation of an American Bitcoin Strategic Reserve (BTC), but polymarket traders are skeptical about what this happens in the first 100 days.
At the time of the press, the bettors of Polymarket give 23% chance that a BTC strategic reserve is created in the first 100 days of the Trump presidency – or by April 30, 2025.
The rules of the contract indicate that the American government will have to specifically hold Bitcoin – and not from confiscation – at 11:59 pm on April 29 for this to be summed up at YES. The announcements of the creation of a reserve do not count.
The chances of a reality reserve went from 11% to 23% in the moments that followed Trump’s announcement. Another contract which requests if a reserve will be created by the end of 2025 is currently 65% chance of resolving the yes.
Initially, the publication of Trump’s social media announcing the creation of the reserve named XRP and Sol as components of the reserve – which caused an increase in their value – before clarifying that BTC and ETH would also be included in the reserve.
One of the most profitable merchants of the 100 -day cryptography reserve contract is TheO5, which seems to be affiliated with a French trader who created a series of accounts, including Theo4, to bet on Trump’s victory during the November 2024 elections.
Theo5 has currently displayed a profit of $ 40,000 on its non-post.
Meanwhile, a trader known as Polywog lost $ 73,000 on his position yes and also lost more than $ 560,000 by wrongly betting on the 2025 elections.
