Pakistan considers India as an existential threat and will continue to continue its efforts of military modernization, including the development of nuclear weapons on the battlefield, to compensate for the conventional military advantage of India, said 2025 global evaluation of threats.
The evaluation was prepared by the US Defense Intelligence Agency (DIA) and presented to the sub-comity of armed services in the American House of Representatives on Intelligence and Special Operations on the basis of the information available on May 11, 2025.
After the militant attack of April 22 at the occupied cashmere, India carried out missile strikes in Pakistan. The missile strikes caused several cycles of missiles, drones and attacks of ammunition to stroll, and strong artillery fire, by the two soldiers from May 7 to 10, when the two countries agreed with a complete ceasefire.
The evaluation indicated that Pakistan modernizes its nuclear arsenal and maintains the security of its nuclear materials and its command and nuclear control. “Pakistan gets almost certainly WMD [Weapons of Mass Destruction] Applicable goods of foreign suppliers and intermediaries, “he said.
According to the evaluation, Pakistan is mainly a beneficiary of the economic and military generosity of China, and the Pakistani forces carry out multiple military exercises combined with the China People’s Army (PLA), including a new air exercise completed in November 2024 each year.
“Foreign materials and technologies supporting WMD programs in Pakistan are most likely acquired from suppliers in China, and are sometimes transmitted by Hong Kong, Singapore, Turkey and the United Arab Emirates.”
He said that during the following year, the main priorities of the Pakistani army should remain cross -border skirmishes with regional neighbors, an increase in attacks by TTP and Balutch activists, efforts to fight terrorism and nuclear modernization. He said that despite Pakistan’s daily operations in the past year, activists have killed more than 2,500 people in Pakistan in 2024.
He also said that terrorist attacks targeting Chinese workers who support China-Pakistan Economic Corridor (CPEC) projects have also become a point of friction between the two countries while seven Chinese nationals were killed in Pakistan in 2024.
According to the evaluation, Pakistan and Iran have taken measures, including high -level meetings, to defuse tensions after the two countries led unilateral air strikes on the territory of the other in January 2024 in response to cross -border terrorist attacks.
“In September 2024, the Taliban and Pakistani border forces clashed near the border posts, leading to the death of eight Taliban fighters. In March 2025, Pakistan and Afghanistan exchanged air strikes and artillery on the other targets,” he said.
He said that the security situation in South Asia is shaped by various factors, including terrorism and long -standing distrust of neighboring states, many of which have modernized their soldiers and nuclear capacities.
“The terrorist activity in Afghanistan and Pakistan will challenge military and security forces, and the current tensions along India and the delimitation of the China’s control border are able to degenerate quickly. Russia and China are continuing the efforts to bring regional powers closer to their respective spheres of influence,” added.
The evaluation said that the defense priorities of Indian Prime Minister Narenda Modi will probably focus on the demonstration of world leadership, the fight against China and the improvement of the military power of New Delhi.
“India considers China as its main opponent and Pakistan plus an auxiliary security problem to manage, despite the cross-border attacks in mid-May by the soldiers of India and Pakistan.”
He said he contradicts Chinese influence and stimulates his role as world leadership, India has priority to advance its bilateral defense partnerships in the Indian Ocean region thanks to exercises, training, arms sales and information sharing.
India has also increased trilateral engagement in the Indo-Pacific region and actively participates in multilateral forums such as quadrilateral, BRICS, the Shanghai cooperation organization and Anase.
He said that China will continue to advance certain areas of partnership with Russia while avoiding actions such as the open supply of equipment or deadly military assistance to Russia which could cause reputation or economic costs for Beijing.
