2026 World Cup odds: How dominant were France and Mbappé?

After their 2-0 victory against Morocco on Thursday, France qualified for their third consecutive World Cup semi-final.

When the odds were officially released in December 2022, France was +600 to win the 2026 FIFA World Cup. Then, on June 11, 2026, the day the tournament started, France was +450 to win the title.

Now, after their quarter-final win and dominant run to the semi-final, Les Bleus’ odds of winning the trophy have risen to +130, the lowest rating of any nation so far.

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France opened their World Cup campaign with a 3-1 victory over Senegal. After a sluggish first half, the Blues opened the match by scoring three goals in the second half, including a double from Kylian Mbappé.

France continued this momentum throughout the rest of the group stage, beating Iraq 3-0 and Norway 4-1 to finish top of Group I. Against Iraq, France completely dominated the match, outshooting them 19-4 while recording 41 touches in the opponent’s box to Iraq’s seven. The Blues followed up with another impressive performance against Norway, scoring four goals and 18 more shots.

France was even more dominant during the round of 16. Didier Deschamps’ side are yet to concede a goal, trailing Sweden, Paraguay and Morocco by a combined score of 6-0. In those three matches, France outshot their opponents 62-18, underscoring the level of control they maintained throughout the tournament.

So how dominant has France’s World Cup run been? Let’s move on to the numbers.

French domination

• France is the only team in this tournament to have won all six regulation matches, having won five of them by multiple goals.
• In six matches, France dominated its opponents 16-2.
• France is not lagging behind in the tournament so far.
• France leads the tournament with 16 goals.
• France leads the tournament in assists with 14.
• France leads the tournament in shots on target with 47, 13 more than any other nation.
• France became the third nation to reach three consecutive World Cup semi-finals (Germany twice, Brazil).
• France recorded its 45th victory at the World Cup, tied with Italy for fourth place (Brazil – 79, Germany – 70, Argentina – 52).
• France have now qualified in seven of their last nine quarter-finals, winning five and reaching a shootout twice.

Mbappé’s domination

Before the start of the 2026 World Cup, Kylian Mbappé was +600 to win the Golden Boot. After scoring eight goals in six games, Mbappé’s odds rose to +105. He is now favorite ahead of Lionel Messi (+150).

• Mbappé has 20 career World Cup goals, making him the second-highest scorer in the tournament’s history and just one goal behind Messi.
• Mbappé is now the first player to score eight goals in two separate World Cups.
• Mbappé took his World Cup record to 12 goals in the round of 16.
• Mbappé has half of France’s 16 goals in this tournament so far.
• Mbappé is involved in 11 goals during the 2026 World Cup (eight goals, three assists); This is the record achieved by a player during a single edition of the World Cup since Gerd Müller in 1970 (10 goals, three assists).
• Mbappé played his 20th World Cup match under Didier Deschamps, a record among all players under the same coach.
• Mbappé has scored 10 goals in each of his last two World Cups; he is only the only player recorded since 1966 to achieve this in two different tournaments.
• Mbappé is the first player to be involved in 100 goals for the France team (64 goals, 36 assists).
• Mbappé has scored the winning goal in eight World Cup matches, which is now the most by any player in history.
• Mbappé has 17 non-penalty goals in the World Cup, tied with Messi for the most.

Mbappé-Dembélé-Olise connection

• France (Mbappé with eight, Dembélé with five) is the first Brazilian team since 2002 to have two players score five goals in a single World Cup (Ronaldo, Rivaldo).
• Ousmane Dembélé and Mbappé scored 13 goals together during this World Cup.
• The Mbappé-Dembélé duo generated more assists (two assists from Dembélé to Mbappé, three from Mbappé to Dembélé) than any other recorded duo (since 1966) in the competition.
• Michael Olise is the first player to make more than 5 assists in a World Cup since the German Thomas Hässler in 1994; Olise is looking to equal the six-man World Cup record (Pelé 1970).