BTC to fall another 30% to $44,000, says major miner

Jiang Zhuoer, one of the best-known bitcoins in China miners and founder of the LeBit mining pool, predicted that the current bear market will bottom out in the fourth quarter between $42,000 and $44,000.

The forecast, made in Chinese on

Jiang analyzed Strategy’s market net asset value (mNAV), the ratio of the company’s stock price to the per-share value of the bitcoin it holds, which fell to 0.72. A number greater than 1 means that investors value the company at a premium to its Bitcoin stack; below 1 means they rate it less.

By Jiang’s figure, the market’s pricing strategy is about 28% lower than the bitcoin it owns, a sign of deep pessimism about the trade.

This reading is close to the low of 0.7 reached by the strategy on May 11, 2022, during the last bullish to bearish turn, he said, leading him to believe mNAV is near its bottom for this cycle.

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