Chris ‘The Bear’ Fallica’s PGA Championship Picks, Predictions and Best Bets

“Bear Bets” are real bets that Chris “The Bear” Fallica is doing.

Like all golf junkies, I am very excited about the PGA Championship.

And between the latest news with LIV and some golfers still trying to find their true form after injuries, this week’s tournament should be interesting and fun to watch.

Here’s where I put my money.

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Scottie Scheffler

The defending champion has a great chance of repeating, as he finishes second consecutively. He is so good that only one player has finished ahead of him in the last three tournaments. In his six PGA appearances, he has finished in the top 10 five times. In his last 13 majors, he has only been outside the top 10 twice. There’s really no need to use any more statistical superlatives. If he’s not here on Sunday, something is seriously wrong.

PICK: Scottie Scheffler (-175) Top 10, ties included
PICK: Scottie Scheffler (+480) to win

Bryson DeChambeau

Bryson DeChambeau eyes his third career major at the 2026 PGA Championship (Getty Images).

There’s so much drama surrounding LIV right now, and I can’t help but wonder if it was weighing on his mind at the Masters when he missed the cut. Now that everything is pretty much open, I would expect Bryson to play better this week, especially since he has been so successful on PGA courses with three straight top-four finishes. Among the course competitions this week for Aronimink are Pinehurst No. 2 and Winged Foot – the two courses on which Bryson won his two U.S. Opens. If you listen to Rory McIlroy, this PGA really has the feel of “hit as far as you can, then figure it out.” This is exactly how DeChambeau won at Winged Foot. I will face him against Aberg who, in his six major tournaments excluding Masters, has missed the cut four times.

PICK: Bryson DeChambeau (+220) Top 10, ties included
PICK: Bryson DeChambeau (+2100) to win
PICK: Bryson DeChambeau (+110) vs. Ludvig Åberg

Matt Fitzpatrick

Matt Fitzpatrick is aiming for his fourth victory of the season and second career major championship (Getty Images).

Quail Hollow wasn’t great for him last week, but the last time Fitzpatrick finished outside the top 20 at Bay Hill, he ripped off 2-1-18-1-1 finishes in his next five starts. He has become one of the best and most consistent players on tour and should once again put up a strong finish. Unlike DeChambeau – who I think is definitely in a better place in his mind with post-LIV plans – I don’t have the same feeling with Jon Rahm. He has spoken so well over the last few weeks in light of everything and I have the impression that he realizes that he has somewhat torpedoed his image, as well as his career, with his time at LIV. I don’t know what to expect from him this week, but at a bargain price, I’m ready to take on Fitz in this face-off.

PICK: Matt Fitzpatrick (-115) Top 20, ties included
PICK: Matt Fitzpatrick (+150) vs. Jon Rahm

Justin Thomas

Chris ‘The Bear’ Fallica believes Justin Thomas will struggle at the PGA Championship (Getty Images).

JT has struggled in recent years in part due to various injuries. Since winning the 2022 PGA, he has placed in the top 30 and missed the cut in seven of his last 13 majors. I wonder if this type of route – where he won’t be the longest hitter and he’s still not the most accurate either – might put him at a disadvantage here. I know he played well at Quail Hollow, but I have my doubts this week. I love Brooks Koepka in this matchup because Koepka has played pretty well since his return to the PGA Tour.

PICK: Justin Thomas (+198) will miss the cut
PICK: Brooks Koepka (+100) vs. Justin Thomas

Colin Morikawa

Chris ‘The Bear’ Fallica would like Brooks Koepka to finish ahead of Collin Morikawa at the PGA Championship (Getty Images).

Morikawa didn’t play well at all in Doral and wasn’t able to give it a shot last week at Quail Hollow because his back still seems to be an issue. What he did at the Masters was incredible, but I would be surprised if he had another success this weekend. I will also support Brooks here head-to-head against Morikawa.

PICK: Collin Morikawa (+210) will miss the cut
PICK: Brooks Koepka (-110) vs. Collin Morikawa

Justin Rose

Chris ‘The Bear’ Fallica likes Justin Rose to miss the cut at the PGA Championship (Getty Images).

There has been so much talk about Rose winning the 2013 US Open at Merion this week, which is good, but the equipment change is a concern. Since flirting with a win at Augusta, he has finished outside the top 40 at Doral and Quail Hollow. He would be a good fade back this week.

PICK: Justin Rose (+198) will miss the cut

Additional Bets

Although it wasn’t the FedEx Cup setup that allowed Keegan Bradley to post a winning score of 20 under, the prevailing thought I’ve heard from players and caddies is that between 13 and 15 under will win this week. And with just a little rain midweek and then not much wind, that score projection holds true.

PICK: Winning score (+102) u267.5

Hovland’s form has dipped from 2023-24 and his third-place finish at the US Open last year, but that is more a decline from Ludvig Åberg than anything else. Hovland has played well on PGA courses, finishing second, third and 28th over the past three years. He had a top-20 finish at the Masters, so maybe things are picking up.

CHOOSE: Viktor Hovland (+470) Best Scandinavian