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Despite ongoing discussions regarding further expansion to 16 or 24 teams, the College Football Playoff will remain a 12-team pool for the 2026-27 season.
With this, the “To Miss The College Football Playoff” betting market allows bettors to bet on which programs will fall short of next season’s CFP field.
And while the hiring of Lane Kiffin sent shockwaves through the SEC over the past six months, LSU emerged as a surprising favorite (-190) to miss the CFP in the first year of the new era.
But LSU is far from the only power facing major skepticism.
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Entering year three under Kalen DeBoer, Alabama (-185) is also favored to miss the playoffs, while Michigan (-350) is heavily favored to miss the playoffs in Kyle Whittingham’s first season.
The Crimson Tide lost Ty Simpson to the NFL and will need to improve a rushing attack that ranked 126th in yards per carry last season. Bryce Underwood returns for the Wolverines under a brand new coaching staff that includes offensive coordinator Jason Becht.
On the other hand, bettors expect the Big Ten to dominate the playoff picture once again. Indiana, Ohio State and Oregon are all considered likely CFP teams based on early numbers.
After winning the national championship last season, the Hoosiers reloaded through the transfer portal, tapping former TCU quarterback Josh Hoover to replace Heisman winner Fernando Mendoza. Ohio State returns quarterback Julian Sayin and superstar receiver Jeremiah Smith, while Oregon brings back star QB Dante Moore.
However, it is Notre Dame that stands out the most, as the Fighting Irish currently possess the best odds to make the playoffs.
Although Jeremiah Love and Jadarian Price are joining the NFL, Notre Dame brings back Heisman Trophy favorite CJ Carr, four returning starters on the offensive line and a defense that should be among the best in the country.
Let’s take a look at the latest odds on FanDuel Sportsbook as of May 6.
Miss the 2026-27 College Football Playoff
USC: -360 (bet $10 to win $12.78 in total)
Michigan: -350 (bet $10 to win $12.86 total)
Oklahoma: -300 (bet $10 to win $13.33 total)
Ole Miss: -220 (bet $10 to win $14.55 total)
LSU: -190 (bet $10 to win $15.26 total)
Alabama: -185 (bet $10 to win $15.41 total)
Texas A&M: -160 (bet $10 to win $16.25 total)
Texas Tech: +130 (bet $10 to win $23 total)
Texas: +150 (bet $10 to win $25 total)
Georgia: +180 (bet $10 to win $28 total)
Ohio State: +200 (bet $10 to win $30 total)
Oregon: +220 (bet $10 to win $32 total)
Miami (FL): +230 (bet $10 to win $33 in total)
Indiana: +260 (bet $10 to win $36 in total)
Notre Dame: +470 (bet $10 to win $57 in total)
