Last year was my worst year of baseball games for OutKick. It wasn’t great at all, but I never really found my footing, and I never had a hot streak. I feel like I’m in the middle of a hot spell or maybe the beginning of one since I’ve managed five non-player prop games in a row and seven of my last eight games. Baseball is usually my most profitable sport, so I hope we have enough money this year.
The Kansas City Royals have been a bit of a disappointment this season. They are just 19-23 for the year and have lost twice as many road games as they have won, a mark of 6-13.
Overall, the team seems to be struggling to score. They are 22nd in the league in points scored, averaging 4.1 points per game. It’s not terrible at all. Their batting average isn’t great; they are ranked 15th in the league, which is right in the middle.
Kansas City Royals starting pitcher Seth Lugo delivers a pitch against the Baltimore Orioles in the first inning at Kauffman Stadium in Kansas City, Missouri on April 20, 2026. (Denny Medley/Imagn Images)
Their pitching hasn’t been great, but Seth Lugo is a pretty reliable guy. If you’ve read my articles in the past, you know that I’ve made a ton of money from Lugo startups. He is 1-2 for the season with a 3.21 ERA and 1.36 WHIP. He’s made eight starts this season, and two of them have been mediocre. One was against the Los Angeles Angels, where he allowed seven earned runs in 6.1 innings. In his last outing, he allowed four runs on seven hits in four innings.
This will be the second time he faces the Chicago White Sox this season. In the first outing, he went 6.1 innings and allowed two runs, one earned. He hasn’t allowed more than two earned runs in a game against the White Sox in 41.1 innings of his career.
The Chicago White Sox are a surprise early in the season. I live in Chicago and I don’t think most fans or residents here thought they would be this good. Good, I guess, is a relative term in this situation. They’re averaging under .500 heading into today’s game at 20-21, but they have a winning record at home at 10-9. Their off-season rookie, Munetaka Murakami, has been a very good power hitter with 15 home runs already this year. The team is only hitting .231 for the year, so there should be reason to be pessimistic about the team’s future.
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Bobby Witt Jr. drives past Cal Raleigh’s tag at home plate to score during the seventh inning at T-Mobile Park in Seattle, Washington on July 3, 2025. The Kansas City Royals won 3-2 over the Seattle Mariners. (Alika Jenner/Getty Images)
Wednesday’s starter for the White Sox is Noah Schultz. His numbers aren’t great at 2-2 with a 4.68 ERA and 1.36 WHIP. However, not all of his starts have been bad. He made just two home starts, going 10.1 innings and allowing five earned runs. I have some concerns about his mechanics as he has already walked 16 guys in 25 innings. He’s also a fly-ball thrower, which isn’t ideal in Chicago, where wind can be a major factor. He never faced the Royals.
I bet on the Royals the last time Lugo took the mound against them. They lost the match 2-0. I’m coming back here because I’m not impressed with Schultz. Plus, that would give the White Sox a sweep and as bad as the Royals are, I don’t see them allowing themselves to get swept. Give me the Royals at the very reasonable price of -120.
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Munetaka Murakami of the Chicago White Sox celebrates his two-run home run against the Arizona Diamondbacks during the seventh inning in Phoenix, Arizona on April 22, 2026. (Ross D. Franklin/AP Photo)
Plus, I’m taking prop Lugo who keeps giving – less than 2.5 earned runs allowed. He’s -118, and he’s been so good against the White Sox in the past. I will be supporting Lugo once again and hope we can get a 2-0 win for the Royals tonight.
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